Jobs report - Obama's plan working or not working?

Prof Mankiw's post is scary.  One can give the benefit of doubt to the policy makers saying the baseline was overly optimistic (as Mankiw suggests).  But either way -- looks like things are worse than what the government presumed.  If that's the case, where are we headed? Japanese style recession as Krugman suggests.  (In short, Japanese style recession is when there is a slowdown in economy including slow bust of housing prices.  Even if production increases a bit but not enough to keep unemployment from increasing or the machines from staying idle)